Monday, December 31, 2007
Political Predictions: Looking Back on 2007
Many of the predictions did not come to fruition because of elections that did not take place(Federal election, Alberta election...). Others, I revised in advance (Nicholson prediction), while others are likely to come true sooner rather than later (Hampton's resignation).
On the positive side, I correctly predicted that the Ontario Liberals would be re-elected with a reduced majority and that John Tory would lose in his own riding.
On the negative side, I incorrectly predicted that the PQ would win a majority in the Quebec election and that the Bloc's anti-scab bill would become law (I was almost right on that last one...)
In the coming days, I'll make my predictions for 2008. Hopefully, I'll be a little closer to the mark.
Monday, December 24, 2007
A Holiday Message From Santa Claus
"One day you will learn everything about Santa Claus. On that day remember everything the adults have told you about Jesus."
Friday, December 21, 2007
Memo to Sanctimonious Liberal Bloggers
Un groupe du Parti libéral du Québec voulait proposer une «proclamation de la citoyenneté québécoise» au prochain congrès libéral mais a dû renoncer à ce vocable après le dépôt du projet de loi 195 du Parti québécois.
I'm willing to bet very few Liberal bloggers while criticize the members of the Liberal Party who came up with the idea in the first place... separatists are such easy targets for sanctimonious Liberals.
Thursday, December 20, 2007
Happy Birthday Blog
My Greatest Hits Collection
Cold War Unicorns... I actually received this for my real birthday.
25% Pay Hike... The public furor over pay raises at Queen's Park sure seemed to dissipate quickly....
Get Orange?... Wow, did I ever hit the nail on the head with this post.
Tunnel Vision... Ditto.
Why the Greens Should be Allowed in the Leaders Debate... Enough said.
A Short History of the Labour Movement in Canada and Quebec
A Unified Secular School System for Ontario... The issue that could have saved the Ontario NDP.
Crossing the Floor... Defections gone wrong.
The Future of Quebec Solidaire... Get your Quebec fix.
My meeting with Stephane Dion... Trust me, he's not a leader.
The Ides of March... Thankfully, I've moved away.
In Defence of Staff Unions... I normally agree with Plawiuk.
The Trials and Tribulations of a Liberal Blogger... He's off the hook, but as nutty as ever.
The NDP and MMP... Don't get me started.
Outremont By-Election... Check out the exclusive photos!
NDP Hit List in Quebec... So close yet so far away.
Confrontation, Struggle, and Transformation... Buy my book!
Danny Glover Stands up for Hotel Workers... My first YouTube appearance.
Top Ten NDP Races to Watch... I didn't do badly with my predictions.
On NDP-Conservative Cooperation... Gasp!
Ontario NDP Leadership Speculation... Long overdue.
Wednesday, December 19, 2007
Peter Tabuns Leadership Campaign
Although Ontario NDP leader Howard Hampton recently announced that he was staying put, the general consensus is that he will retire after the next federal election in time for the 2009 Ontario NDP convention. I have blogged quite a bit about Tabuns and other would-be successors, but a Tabuns candidacy is almost a sure thing at this point.
Here's why:
1. Although the entire Ontario NDP caucus (minus Rosario Marchese) attended Hampton's speech to the Ontario Federation of Labour Convention in November, Tabuns was the only MPP to stick around for an extra day. This is significant because organized labour is an important stakeholder in the Ontario party and Tabuns has a few anti-union skeletons in his closet. He needs to work hard to mend fences with the labour movement.
2. Tabuns has embarked on a province-wide speaking tour called "Dialogue for a New Energy Economy" wherein he discusses an "exciting new plan to transform Ontario from a province dependent on diminishing reserves of imported non-renewable energy to a thriving economy with good jobs built on energy efficiency and renewable energy resources." Sounds like the theme to a leadership campaign to me....
3. As previously discussed, as a former Executive Director of Greenpeace and the NDP's current Environment critic, Tabuns' green credentials make him an attractive candidate in some circles. He's closer to Jack Layton than he is to Howard Hampton policy-wise and many of Layton's people will work for Tabuns.
4. Tabuns, elected in a 2006 by-election, is not tainted by the Rae years like Hampton was. As such, he can disavow the former NDP leader in a way that a former Rae cabinet minister could not. This plays into the theme of party renewal that the anti-Hampton crowd is trumpetting.
Monday, December 17, 2007
Perfected: The Ann Coulter Song
This singer/songwriter hits the nail on the head with this funny song about right-wing nut Ann Coulter.
Americans Launch Recycling Program for Canadians
Managers of the Fashion Outlets mall in the Town of Niagara may have found a solution to the piles of old clothes that Canadian shoppers are tossing aside in their parking lots, dressing rooms and restrooms.
The mall has placed collection bins at each exit where shoppers can deposit “gently used” and unwanted items.
Whatever is collected is given to Community Missions of Niagara Frontier, said mall spokeswoman Julie Clark.
“It’s been a win-win situation for both organizations,” Clark said.
Thanks to the recent parity between the U.S. and Canadian dollars, there has been a surge of Canadians wielding their buying power on this side of the border.
Retailers have long seen the leftovers from shoppers who like to wear their new purchases home to avoid paying a duty when they cross the border.
Sunday, December 16, 2007
Shuffling the Deck
Accidental Deliberations (The winner of this year's 2007 unofficial Blogging Dipper award for best blog overall).
Politics'n'Poetry (The winner of this year's 2007 unofficial Blogging Dipper award for best feminist blog).
I also had to remove a link... you need to post if you want to stay on the list!
Saturday, December 15, 2007
Dump Howie Website in the Works
I'm told several Ontario New Democrats are poised to launch a similar website in the new year as part of a bid to convince Howard Hampton retire as leader of the NDP. The website will likely contain a message board for New Democrats to share their thoughts on Hampton's leadership.
Several names have been suggested as replacements: Parkdale-High Park MPP Cheri DiNovo, former Toronto-Danforth MPP Marilyn Churley, current Toronto Danforth MPP Peter Tabuns, Hamilton Centre MPP Andrea Horwath, Welland MPP Peter Kormos, Beaches-East York MPP Micheal Prue, Hamiltom Centre MP David Christopherson, Windsor Tecumseh MP Joe Comartin, and Parkdale-High Park MP Peggy Nash.
In November, at the party's provincial council meeting, Hampton blamed everybody but himself for the party's dismal performance in the October 2007 election. Although he received a standing ovation after his speech to delegates, many party stalwarts and defeated candidates remained planted firmly in their seats, visibly unimpressed.
Hampton has said he will stay on as leader until at least after the next federal election and the next Nova Scotia election (New Democrats have a history of shipping campaign organizers across the country), at which point all options, including staying on as leader, are open. Such a timeline would not normally be objectionable, if Hampton were indeed planning to retire, but there is no strong indication that he will indeed retire. There is also concern that the Nova Scotia election may not occur until 2009 or even 2010. Therefore, grassroots NDP members are moving to convince Hampton to call it quits early, immediately after the federal election expected in the spring of 2008. From what I'm hearing on the ground, I suspect their efforts will pay off.
Friday, December 14, 2007
Rick Mercer Meets Mike Huckabee
Could the next US President be as dim-witted as the current one? You decide. h/t to Rusty Idols
Winners Announced for 2007 Unofficial Blogging Dipper Awards
Nominees:
Accidental Deliberations
Buckdog
La Revue Gauche
And the winner is: Accidental Deliberations, Best Overall Blog
Best Feminist Dipper Blog
Nominees:
Idealistic Pragmatist
F-email Fightback
Politics'n'Poetry
And the winner is: Politics'n'Poetry, Best Feminist Blog
Best Labour Dipper Blog
Nominees:
La Revue Gauche
Rusty Idols
The Daily Dissidence
And the winner is: La Revue Gauche, Best Labour Blog
Best Partisan Dipper Blog
Nominees:
Accidental Deliberations
Buckdog
Northern BC Dipper
And the winner is: Buckdog, Best Partisan Blog
Best Radical Dipper Blog
Nominees:
La Revue Gauche
Paulitics
Red Menace
And the winner is: Paulitics, Best Radical Blog
Thanks to everyone who took the time to vote.
Tuesday, December 11, 2007
Nova Scotia NDP Widens its Lead Over Ruling Tories
Vote Intention
New Democrats 39%
Conservatives 32%
Liberals 25%
Best Premier
Dexter 32%
MacDonald 23%
McNeil 14%
Final Reminder - Vote in the 2007 Unofficial Blogging Dipper Awards
Best Overall Dipper Blog
Accidental Deliberations
Buckdog
La Revue Gauche
Best Feminist Dipper Blog
Idealistic Pragmatist
F-email Fightback
Politics'n'Poetry
Best Labour Dipper Blog
La Revue Gauche
Rusty Idols
The Daily Dissidence
Best Partisan Dipper Blog
Accidental Deliberations
Buckdog
Northern BC Dipper
Best Radical Dipper Blog
La Revue Gauche
Paulitics
Red Menace
Vote for your favourite in each category by sending an e-mail to politicaldiscord@hotmail.com before December 14, 2007. Thanks to everybody who participated in the nominations round and a special thanks for people who nominated this blog - which I have deliberately excluded from the competition.
Saturday, December 8, 2007
Will Warren Kinsella and Robert McClelland Finally Agree on Something?
Kinsella thinks Hampton should stay (in an insulting patronizing way).
I find myself in the awkward position of agreeing with both of them. But, I do have to point out that I was calling on Howie to resign way back in 1999 with the unanimous support of the Ontario NDP Youth Executive. I suppose that makes me a visionary ;-)
Friday, December 7, 2007
Thursday, December 6, 2007
Liberal Blogger Off the Hook on Fraud Charges
Wednesday, December 5, 2007
Liberal Blogger's Fraud Case Adjourned Until Thursday
From the Niagara Falls Review:
Curran, a 42-year-old businessman was charged in April with two counts of fraud in what Niagara Regional Police described then as a "cheque-kiting scheme" against two financial institutions. The charges were laid the day before the longtime Liberal party activist was to be nominated as the party's candidate for the next federal election.
Read more about Curran here, here, here, and here.
Tuesday, December 4, 2007
Protect Our Troops - From the Womb to the War
Protect our troops - from the womb to the war. What if the fetus you were going to abort would grow up to be a soldier bringing democracy to a godless dictatorship?
Plastic replica of an 11-12 week old fetus, 3" long, holding a firearm in its precious little hand, with an assortment of other military paraphernalia, encased in a translucent plastic ornament, with a patriotic yellow ribbon on top. Includes a metal ornament hanger. If only a womb were this safe, attractive and reasonably priced!
Show that you support the "culture of life" by buying and proudly displaying one of these patriotic unborn Americans.
Robin Sears and Brian Mulroney
Monday, December 3, 2007
Unofficial 2007 Blogging Dipper Award Finalists
Best Overall Dipper Blog
Accidental Deliberations
Buckdog
La Revue Gauche
Best Feminist Dipper Blog
Idealistic Pragmatist
F-email Fightback
Politics'n'Poetry
Best Labour Dipper Blog
La Revue Gauche
Rusty Idols
The Daily Dissidence
Best Partisan Dipper
Accidental Deliberations
Buckdog
Northern BC Dipper
BlogBest Radical Dipper Blog
La Revue Gauche
Paulitics
Red Menace
Vote for your favourite in each category by sending an e-mail to politicaldiscord@hotmail.com before December 14, 2007. Thanks to everybody who participated in the nominations round and a special thanks for people who nominated this blog - which I have deliberately excluded from the competition.
Saturday, December 1, 2007
OFL Convention Update
The convention highlighted speeches from Canadian Labour Congress President Ken Geogetti (who sidestepped the thorny issue of the CAW-Magna deal), Ontario NDP leader Howard Hampton (who blamed the media for his third straight pummeling at the polls), and Federal NDP leader Jack Layton (who outlined his party's green jobs strategy).
In terms of convention content, it was pretty much a Buzz Hargrove bash-fest, with labour leaders criticizing Hargrove for giving up the right to strike in his pact with Magna. On the positive side, a campaign for card-based union certification emerged as the most important issue facing labour.
In terms of resolutions, the convention was decidedly post-materialist, with not a single resolution being submitted, let alone debated, on political action or economic policy.
I can now return to a more regular schedule of blogging.
Sunday, November 25, 2007
The Politics of Parsing: Clinton Flips and Flops
Watch Hillary Clinton flip and flop on Iraq, social security and immigration.
Hampton Says He's Not Going Anywhere-- But Don't Buy It
Some New Democrats believe Hampton has already decided to step down from the leadership in mid-term, or in 2009. That would get the provincial party past the federal election (assuming it is in 2008, which is a big assumption). It would also mean the party could turn its biennial meeting, planned for 2009, into a leadership convention, thereby avoiding the cost of two big gatherings.
If Hampton has, indeed, decided to go in two years, why wouldn't he just announce that now? Because it would make him a lame-duck leader.
Wednesday, November 21, 2007
Monday, November 19, 2007
WSIB Safety Ads Cause Controversy
Some folks are complaining that the Ontario Government's Workplace Safety and Insurance Board TV spots are a little too graphic for young children. I happen to like the entire series of ads which you can preview at:
http://www.prevent-it.ca/flash/
Quebec Solidaire: Not Dead Yet
Unofficial 2007 Blogging Dipper Awards
The 2007 Unofficial Blogging Dipper Awards is an opportunity to nominate and to recognize our favourite NDP blogs. There are no fancy buttons or badges, but I would encourage members of the Blogging Dipper community to link to this post in an effort to generate interest. We are looking for the best Dipper blogs in the following categories:
Best Overall Dipper Blog
Best Feminist Dipper Blog
Best Labour Dipper Blog
Best Partisan Dipper Blog
Best Radical Dipper Blog
WHY?
I have been a member of the Blogging Dipper community for about a year now. Although the community is full of interesting blogs, it continues to operate at the margins in the Canadian political blogosphere. In an effort to bring greater attention to the Blogging Dipper community, I thought it would be interesting to launch an unofficial contest to recognize some of the best and brightest bloggers on the left.
WHO?
Only bloggers who are members of the Blogging Dippers community are eligible for nomination, but all bloggers are free to vote. You can see the full list of potential nominees by scrolling down on the right-side of this page.
WHEN?
Nominations will close on Friday November 30 at noon. Winners will be announced in December 2007.
HOW?
To nominate a blog in any or all of the categories listed above send an e-mail to politicaldiscord@hotmail.com or simply leave a comment in response to this post. The three blogs that receive the greatest number of nominations by November 30 will become the three finalists for each category and a new round of voting will begin in December. I will constantly update the community on the status of the awards.
Thursday, November 15, 2007
Green Party Lead Over NDP Melts Away
However, the fact that the Greens have maintained support levels between 8 and 13% since January 2007 should be enough to prove to the Canadian Broadcasting consortium that Elizabeth May belongs in the national leaders debate. After all, the NDP won less than 7% of the vote in the 1993 election... You can see all the details of the latest poll for yourself here.
Wednesday, November 14, 2007
"Hey hey, pencils down. Hollywood is a Union Town!"
The New York wing of the Writers Guild of America, actually a separate union called the WGA East, issued a statement saying DeGeneres was "not welcome" in New York and threatening to picket her show if she went ahead with plans to tape there on November 19 and 20.But DeGeneres, a member of both the Writers Guild and its sister union for TV performers, the American Federation of Television and Radio Artists, drew immediate support from AFTRA and producers of her show. Both denied WGA East claims the popular TV star was breaking strike rules.
The flap came weeks after DeGeneres sparked a national uproar with a tearful on-air account of how an animal rescue group had taken back a puppy she had adopted but then given to a friend's family without the animal agency's permission.
"We find it sad that Ellen spent an entire week crying and fighting for a dog that she gave away, yet she couldn't even stand by writers for more than one day," the WGA East said.
Ouch! Maybe this strike will convince writers to produce more union-friendly content once the dispute is resolved.
Tuesday, November 13, 2007
Greens Surpass NDP in National Poll
This poll is one of many reasons why the Greens should be invited to participate in the national leaders debate. When the Green Party is outperforming the third and fourth place parties in the House, we can't reasonably argue that the Greens have no place in the national debates.
Read more about the Greens and the NDP here, here, and here.
Conservatives Settle Libel Suit
The federal Conservative party has quietly settled a lawsuit with a former candidate who had accused Prime Minister Stephen Harper of libel...Mr. Riddell claimed he was promised $50,000 by the party to cover his expenses if he stepped aside to make room for a new, high-profile Tory candidate in his Ottawa riding; the party claimed Mr. Riddell was disqualified.
Mr. Harper, prior to becoming prime minister, flatly declared there was no deal between the Conservatives and Mr. Riddell — but courts subsequently ruled there was indeed an agreement.
Doesn't sound too Prime Ministerial, does it?
Monday, November 12, 2007
Mulroney Fights Back With Call for a Public Inquiry
"I have come to the conclusion that in order to finally put this matter to rest and expose all the facts and the role played by all the people involved, from public servants to elected officials, from lobbyists to police authorities, as well as journalists, the only solution is for the government to launch a full-fledged public commission of inquiry,"
Liberal Membership Numbers Continue to Plummet in Quebec
Here's a rough summary for those who do not read French.
Liberal Party of Canada- Quebec section
2004 : 100,000 members
2006: 37,570 members
2007: 15,000 members
Even worse for the Liberals, of those 15,000 members, roughly 5,000 of them live in three Montreal ridings (NDG-Lachine, Westmount Ville-Marie and Bourassa).
Liberal spin:
«C'est un peu normal», explique Robert Fragasso, le président de l'aile québécoise du PLC. Tous les candidats [à la direction], et ils étaient nombreux, tentaient de gagner la bataille du super week-end pour l'élection des délégués. Le nerf de la guerre à l'époque était de recruter le plus grand nombre de membres et de faire élire des délégués favorables aux candidats respectifs.» M. Fragasso explique que ces membres «ont adhéré pour un an et, suite au leadership, n'ont pas renouvelé [leur adhésion]». «Le défi, évidemment, c'est de les conserver, mais ce n'est pas toujours facile», continue-t-il. Le président du PLC-Q insiste pour dire que cette situation se vit «dans tous les partis politiques» et pas seulement au Parti libéral.
Malgré tout, il s'agit d'un creux historique. M. Fragasso reconnaissait lui-même l'année dernière que le nombre traditionnel de membres du PLC-Q oscillait entre 30 000 et 35 000. Il avait même atteint le vertigineux sommet de 100 000 en 2004, à la suite de l'arrivée de Paul Martin.
Poll Confirms: Stephane Dion is Not a Leader
Read about the SES leadership poll here.
The startling SES-Sun Media survey shows Harper has steamrolled ahead as the choice for “best PM” of 37% of Canadians, while Dion plunged to third place as the pick of just 13% of Canadians. Layton garnered 17% support across the country.
SES pollster Nik Nanos said the results are big news for Harper, who has cracked opened a 20-point lead from his nearest rival in the leadership popularity contest. The results deliver the worst news for Dion, who has fallen 10 points in the last 90 days.
Nanos said a number of factors are at play, including a recent spate of Tory attack ads and decision to abstain from key votes by Liberals in the House of Commons.
Sunday, November 11, 2007
Are the Greens Still a Fringe Party?
We won 350,000 votes or 8% of the popular vote in Ontario, nearly tripling our support from 2003. We also increased our membership threefold. We finished third or better in 18 ridings, ahead of NDP and PC candidates. Twenty-one of our candidates garnered more than 10% of the vote, while our top three earned more than 15%. Our best showing was in Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound, where Shane Jolley captured 33% for a very strong second-place finish — the best result ever for any provincial or federal Green candidate in Canada. We have raised our status from fringe party to serious contender.
Although the Greens are far from being a "serious contender", i'm wondering if it's time to remove the fringe party label. Although it's true that their leader has little name recognition, the party won no seats, and the Greens are still very much a paper organization in many corners of the province, there is clearly a distinction between this minor party and the other fringe parties in Ontario.
What do you think? Are the Greens still fringe?
Saturday, November 10, 2007
The Weirdest NDP Press Release Ever
Toronto MPP Prue lobbies to be NDP Natural Resources Critic
November 6, 2007
Beaches-East York NDP MPP Michael Prue today announced that he is lobbying NDP Leader Howard Hampton and his colleagues in the NDP caucus to be named the NDP’s new natural resources critic.
“Unlike the new minister of natural resources, I actually have some experience with the North. I mean, I go fishing with Gilles Bisson every year in Northern Ontario. I even put my own worm on the hook. I wouldn’t even need to hire a high-priced handler to do that,” Prue said.
Last week, Premier McGuinty appointed Donna Cansfield Minister of Natural Resources. That’s despite a long-standing tradition of naming a minister from Northern Ontario to that portfolio.
“I’m taking my lead from Dalton McGuinty,” said Prue. “In naming Toronto MPP Donna Cansfield the new Minister of Natural Resources, he signalled that there will be a new downtown Toronto focus to the major ministry that deals with issues that are most important to Northern Ontario’s working families. Given McGuinty’s standards, I should be the critic!”
When asked for comment, Hampton said that the only chance that Prue’s wish would be granted would be if “I wake up tomorrow morning and find that, somehow, Beaches-East York has been moved way North.”
Harper On Mulroney
Friday, November 9, 2007
A Vision of Students Today
Interesting Kansas State University Project about students, their lives, and their education.
Thursday, November 8, 2007
Peter Tabuns to Run for Ontario NDP Leadership?
More Ontario NDP leadership news here, here, and here.
Tuesday, November 6, 2007
Senate Abolition Referendum Proposal Gains Steam
Like I said before:
Looks like Harper and Segal are really only trying to scare the Liberal majority in the Senate into towing the line or risk losing their jobs... smart power play, it will be interesting to see who blinks first.
One more thing: Before New Democrats get all self-congratulatory about having a principled and longstanding position is support of abolishing the Senate, they should remember that the NDP jettisoned its support for abolition the Senate during the Charlottetown Accord talks, when it settled for an elected Senate.
Sunday, November 4, 2007
Barack Obama on Saturday Night Live
The Clintons host a Halloweeen party and Obama arrives dressed as himself.
Friday, November 2, 2007
What Would René Lévesque Say About Reasonable Accommodation?
Mais sait-on vraiment ce que René Lévesque penserait des débats actuels? Martine Tremblay, qui a été sa collaboratrice dès les années 70 et qui a occupé le poste névralgique de chef de cabinet, souligne d'abord que plusieurs lui posent cette question sur de nombreux sujets. «C'est un signe que, vingt ans après sa mort, il nous manque toujours», note-t-elle. Le personnage est devenu «un étalon» (au sens d'«étalon de mesure»). «Non, enfin», se reprend-elle, un sourire dans la voix, «pas "étalon", je veux dire une borne, une référence.» Mais selon Mme Tremblay, il est difficile de dire dans quel sens René Lévesque aurait tranché.
Thursday, November 1, 2007
A Different Kind of Communist Party
It's not quite the Communist Party of Canada or even the Communist Party Marxist-Leninist, but it's a party nonetheless.
Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Sask Party Poised to Win Majority
Sask Party 50%
NDP 35%
Liberal 10%
With numbers like these the NDP will be lucky to hold onto 20 seats and the Sask Party will likely pick up an additional ten seats, thus securing a strong majority for Brad Wall. The silver lining for the NDP is that a greater proportion of Liberals than New Democrats are moving to the Sask Party, therefore increasing the likelihood that Liberal leader David Karwacki will go down to defeat.
For more election info click here.
Sunday, October 28, 2007
Danny Glover and Niagara Hotel Workers Headed to Court
Danny Glover, international film star and union supporter, Wayne Samuelson, President of the Ontario Federation of Labour, and
Alex Dagg, Canadian Co-Director of UNITE HERE, the hotel workers union are headed to court on October 30th in St. Catharines.
In September 2006, during a rally, Glover, Samuelson, and Dagg entered the Sheraton on the Falls and asked for a meeting with the owner. They were met with calls to police. Police refused to arrest the three and they left peacefully. Despite this, CNH decided to pursue a private prosecution of the three.
This YouTube video features Glover's speech to union members and supporters before the delegation entered the hotel. If you watch closely, you can see yours truly in the background.
Saturday, October 27, 2007
Friday, October 26, 2007
Sask Liberals Say Yes to Decriminalizing Pot
On the other hand Sask Party leader Brad Wall has admitted to smoking pot, but remains firmly against decriminalization.
Some bloggers are annoyed that the Liberals are portraying themselves as the true progressive alternative to an inevitable Sask Party government. However, this is a pretty good example of how the Saskatchewan NDP is being outflanked by the Liberals on a progressive issue. To be sure, the Liberals are not a left-wing party, but they are an attractive protest vote for traditional NDP supporters who see their party as having abandoned its core social democratic philosophy over the course of the last fifteen years.
Thursday, October 25, 2007
Why Kormos is Unlikely to Run for Ontario NDP Leader
Why?
He doesn’t seem to want the job. If Kormos really wanted the job, he would have taken it after Hampton lost official party status for the party for the second election in a row in 2003. The fact is that Hampton was willing to step aside, but no one, including Kormos, wanted the job. Why would he want it now?
Kormos would only differ significantly from Hampton in terms of style. Kormos knows how to rally the troops and energize a crowd. He is, by far, a better public speaker than Hampton and would make a much more effective opposition leader as a result. However, in terms of policy, Kormos and Hampton are not that far apart. Sure, Kormos is more left-wing than Hampton, but over the course of the last three election campaigns Kormos has effectively pushed his party to the left. In fact, the last two NDP platforms could have been written by Kormos. The party’s decision to re-commit itself to public auto insurance in 2003, its recent emphasis on anti-scab laws, and its disavowal of the Rae government’s Social Contract Act are all evidence of Kormos’ growing influence within the caucus and the party. That influence grew tremendously after the departure of Frances Lankin and David Christopherson. As House leader, Kormos was able to put his stamp on the party like never before. However, there is a sense that Hampton’s politics are as stale as his leadership capabilities. As such, Kormos may not have that much to offer policy-wise. For example, he is opposed to a single, secular public school system in Ontario – a policy currently embraced by the party’s left wing.
His time has passed. Although he was an MPP during the Rae government’s reign of error, Kormos doesn’t carry the baggage of the Rae government like some potential candidates. That’s because he was a thorn in the side of the government and criticized it for abandoning its core social democratic philosophy. That said, Kormos has been around Queen’s Park since 1988. He is as dynamic as ever, but there is a sense that the party needs to renew itself with a newcomer at the helm.
Kormos has done a lot for the party, especially since Rae’s departure. Rae’s conversion to the Liberals has only vindicated Kormos. Expect his caucus colleagues to appoint him as interim leader while others battle it out for the leadership, but don’t expect Kormos to seek the prize himself.
Wednesday, October 24, 2007
Federal NDP MPs Eye Ontario NDP Leadership
Ontario NDP leader Howard Hampton is widely rumoured to be leaving the post before the next NDP convention which is scheduled for 2009.
Christopherson, a former cabinet minister in the Rae government, left Queen's Park for a failed mayoral bid in Hamilton after a falling out with Hampton. He was subsequently elected as the MP for Hamilton Centre in the 2004 federal election and was re-elected with an impressive majority in 2006. Christopherson had explored the possibility of running for the Ontario NDP leadership back in 1996, but most of his potential support base had already committed to supporting Hampton or Frances Lankin. Christopherson is a dynamic speaker, but carries the baggage of the Rae government.
Comartin, who was the only NDP elected from Ontario in the 2000 federal election, finished 4th in his bid for the Federal NDP leadership in 2002. His riding is currently held provincially by Liberal cabinet minister Dwight Duncan. Comartin does not carry the baggage of the Rae government, but he had difficulty attracting support for his federal bid in 2002 and is not nearly as charismatic as Christopherson or other rumoured leadership contender Cheri DiNovo.
Hugh Segal Puts the 'Red' Back Into Red Tory with Senate Proposal
After emerging as one of the only conservative voices in favour of MMP in this month's referendum on electoral reform in Ontario, Tory Senator Hugh Segal has outdone himself with a proposal to hold a national referendum on abolishing the Senate. Abolition of the second chamber has been NDP party policy for some time... Segal himself thinks the senate should be reformed rather than abolished.
But, Mr. Segal said, if the pro-Senate side campaigned on a pledge of reform, “that would constitute a basis to go forward.”
Looks like Harper and Segal are really only trying to scare the Liberal majority in the Senate into towing the line or risk losing their jobs... smart power play, it will be interesting to see who blinks first.
Sunday, October 21, 2007
Wednesday, October 17, 2007
Why New Democrats are DiNutso over DiNovo
Why does DiNovo appeal to so many New Democrats? After failing to increase the NDP's seat total for three elections in a row, New Democrats are tired of Howard Hampton and looking for someone to revitalize their party. Cheri DiNovo is everything that Howard Hampton isn't:
1. She's a woman
2. She represents an urban Toronto riding
3. She's articulate and charismatic.
3. She has no relationship to the Rae years.
4. She has support from both the party establishment and party reformers.
5. She knows how to get the media to pay attention to her.
Although there are certainly others who may be interested in the NDP leadership, DiNovo is clearly the front runner regardless of whether or not she is interested in the job.
Sunday, October 14, 2007
Proportional Representation Debate Relaunched in Quebec
Friday, October 12, 2007
Leave Stephane Dion Alone!
He's the only Quebec-based federal party leader, but he's also the most unpopular federal leader in Quebec. This YouTuber encourages us to just leave poor Stephane Dion alone.
Thursday, October 11, 2007
The NDP and the MMP Referendum
In the ten ridings where the NDP won on October 10, a majority of voters rejected MMP.
Provincial average-- FPTP: 63.2% MMP: 36.8%
NDP ridings-- FPTP: 55.9% MMP: 44.1%
In the NDP ridings where the NDP candidate took more than 50% of the votes cast, support for MMP was even more unpopular. In Welland, MMP won the support of only 39.9% of voters. In Kenora-Rainy River, MMP won the support of just 30.1% of voters, and in Timmins-James Bay, support for MMP was a dismal 22%.
In four of ten NDP ridings (all of the Toronto NDP ridings) MMP won majority support. Support for MMP was highest in Trinity-Spadina (59%) - still under the 60% super majority. In the other six NDP ridings (all of the NDP ridings outside of Toronto) support for MMP was actually below the provinical average, largely due to the intense opposition to MMP in Northern Ontario.
A few weeks back I complained about the party's reluctance to campaign on MMP here and here. I think these results demonstrate how the party dropped the ball on MMP. Communicating with the base would not have changed to outcome of the referedum, but it could have certainly firmed up support for MMP.
Tuesday, October 9, 2007
Top 10 NDP Races to Watch
Algoma-Manitoulin: Former NDP MPP House leader Bud Wildman held a large portion of this seat up until 1999 and the Federal NDP has been relatively competitive here in recent years. With NDP fortunes on the rise in Northern Ontario, this riding, held by Speaker of the House Mike Brown, could be in play. ADVANTAGE: Liberal
Davenport: This riding is by far the best chance for a new NDP seat in Toronto. However, Liberal MPP Tony Ruprecht has had a solid grip on Davenport for decades. The NDP has an outside shot with Portuguese candidate Peter Ferreira. ADVANTAGE: Liberal
Hamilton East-Stoney Creek: Liberal Nerene Virgin takes on the NDP's Paul Miller in this newly redistributed riding which went NDP in the 2006 federal election. McGuinty's decision to hand-pick the Liberal candidate has rubbed some Hamiltonians the wrong way. ADVANTAGE: NDP
Hamilton Mountain: This riding went NDP in 2006, but the provincial NDP has not been competitive here since the party was dumped from office in 1995. Although the Liberal incumbent has decided not to run for re-election, it's still an uphill climb for NDP candidate Brian Adamanczyk. ADVANTAGE: Liberal
London-Fanshawe: NDP MP Irene Mathyssen took this riding for the Federal NDP in 2006 and her constituency assistant,Stephen Maynard, is hoping to do the same for the provincial NDP in 2007. This riding is one of the very few three-way races in the province. Although the NDP had an advantage going into the campaign given the lacklustre performance of the Liberal incumbent, recent polling suggests that the Liberal could hold on, but just barely. ADVANTAGE: Liberal
Nickel Belt: An NDP stronghold for decades, the departure of longtime NDP MPP Shelley Martel has put this riding into play for the Liberals. NDP candidate France Gelinas is likely to hold on, thanks to the relative strength of the NDP in Northern Ontario, but don't expect her to post better numbers than her predecessor. ADVANTAGE: NDP
Oshawa: The NDP's Sid Ryan is hoping that the fourth time is a charm in Oshawa. He may finally get his wish due to sinking Tory fortunes. This riding is the only competitive NDP-Conservative race in the province. ADVANTAGE: NDP
Ottawa Centre: This riding that went NDP in both the 2004 and 2006 federal elections has no incumbent, but it's far from a slam dunk for the provincial New Democrats who are in a tight race with the Liberals. Sagging NDP numbers in Eastern Ontario may keep this riding in the Grit column. ADVANTAGE: Liberal
Thunder Bay-Atikokan: NDP candidate John Rafferty nearly took this riding for the federal NDP in 2006. He's back at it provincially, but with a much tougher hill to climb. Provinicially, this riding has been a Liberal stronghold over the course of the last few elections. Rafferty is popular and NDP numbers are up in Northern Ontario. This is the party's best chance for a new seat in Northern Ontario. ADVANTAGE: NDP
York South-Weston: The Ontario NDP's newest caucus member, Paul Ferreira, is in for the fight of his life after narrowly winning this riding from the Liberals in a 2007 by-election. It will be much more difficult for him to hold on in a general election. ADVANTAGE: Liberal
Friday, October 5, 2007
St. Catharines & District Labour Council Celebrates 50th Anniversary
Come and Celebrate this Milestone with us on Saturday, October 13 CAW Hall , 124 Bunting RD. St. Catharines
Dinner and Dance Tickets $ 45.00 for dinner and dance $ 5.00 for dance Cocktails @ 6:30 pm, Dinner @ 7:30 pm Dance 9:00 pm
Guest Speaker: Hassan Yussuff
For tickets and more information please contact Mariea McNelis 905-688-5050 ext 105
You can order Confrontation, Struggle and Transformation: Organized Labour in the St. Catharines Area, the book the commemorates the anniversary here.
On Conservative-NDP Co-operation
The federal NDP would be hilarious if they weren't so destructive. You'll have to get to the end of the article, but just as they are starting to gain traction attacking the Tories they are back to attacking the Liberals. I think they just don't get it - people don't trust them to form a government. The federal NDP will never be more than a third party that makes it possible for Conservatives to win elections. Even the Conservatives admit it!
It may come as a surprise to some Liberals, but some New Democrats will admit it too.
Let me give you a good example of how Tory-NDP co-operation helped sink the Liberals in Niagara Falls.
In the 2003 provincial election, when it looked like the local Conservative campaign was going down with the ship, Bart Maves’ people sent the NDP campaign a list of voters who were identified as not supporting the Conservatives. The idea was that the NDP, with very few resources or volunteers, could more easily identify their supporters that way and hopefully, swing a few Liberal votes away from Kim Craitor’s campaign. The last minute Tory strategy failed and the Liberals won the riding.
I wasn’t involved in the 2003 campaign. However, less than a year later, while co-managing the Federal NDP’s campaign in Niagara Falls, we were able to rely on those 2003 Tory lists to build and, more importantly, broaden our base of support. In fact, we relied exclusively on those lists in that campaign and the NDP vote shot up to over 20% on election day and we quadrupled our vote total from the previous election. The Liberals lost a seat they had held since 1993 by fewer than 2000 votes to the Tories.
In 2006, I once again managed the NDP campaign in Niagara Falls. This time we had our own lists left over from 2004 and had more resources than ever before. Our advertising focused almost exclusively on attacking the Liberals despite the fact that it was now a Tory riding. We took this approach because we understood that the Liberals were in decline and our best opportunity for building our vote total came from disgruntled Liberals, not committed Conservatives. We attacked the Tories when it was convenient, but the Liberal record was our major focus.
Our efforts paid off. In fact, on election day we took over 12,000 votes, a record for the federal NDP in Niagara Falls. In debates, in the newspaper coverage, and in our election ads, we took direct aim at the Liberals, sometimes with the help of Rob Nicholson’s campaign. When Paul Martin was visiting the riding towards the end of the campaign to make an announcement about the development of a “heroes fund”, Tory MP Rob Nicholson personally contacted our campaign reminding us that this was originally an NDP proposal turned down by the Liberals. He left his personal cell phone number, said he was happy to help and encouraged us to contact him in case we couldn’t get research help from our own central campaign. Let's just say the Tory war room is faster. With Nicholson’s assistance, we were able to develop a targeted leaflet which exposed the Liberal flip flop and embarrassed the Liberal campaign. Nicholson also personally visited the NDP office and we were in contact with his office over advertising issues, successfully lobbying the Tories to pull a newspaper ad which the NDP candidate thought might hurt our campaign.
To call this collusion would be silly, since our campaigns were very much independent. We did, however, have a common enemy in the Liberals. We both understood, correctly in my view, that our campaigns both benefited from a collapse in the Liberal vote. In cooperating or accepting assistance from the Tories, we never sacrificed our beliefs or principles. Instead, we managed to run a great campaign, which promoted the NDP’s message and exposed the Liberals as a carbon copy of the Tories. This, more than anything, is why New Democrats attack Liberals in my view. The NDP was created because the two old parties were not addressing the needs of the working class. While Liberals like to portray themselves as centrists, they campaign on the left and govern on the right. As such, they can’t expect to be given a free ride by the NDP, even if it means electing a Tory.
Hampton Trashed by Hargrove
Buzz Hargrove, leader of Ontario's biggest union, yesterday slammed Howard Hampton and the NDP, arguing the party has "lost complete touch" with the people of the province.
"They are worse than they've ever been. I see absolutely no reason to vote NDP," said Hargrove, president of the Canadian Auto Workers. His union has 185,000 members in Ontario and 265,000 nationally, mainly in the auto industry but also in other important manufacturing sectors...
Countered Ryan: "Buzz has no idea what he's talking about... It shows how out of touch he is with politics in the Durham Region and with the feelings of the CAW membership in Oshawa."
Pointing out he has the support of CAW Local 222 in Oshawa, Ryan added: "Buzz rarely ever sets foot in Oshawa. ... Buzz is in a bubble."
Hargrove also warned Hampton's election promise to roll back recent pay raises for MPPs is a precursor to cutting the wages of public sector workers in Ontario.
"You can kid some of the people who weren't around, but you can't kid me. I was there," said Hargrove of the NDP record in government from 1990-1995.
"If you look at the NDP when they were in power for five years – and Hampton was one of the key cabinet ministers – boy, they were on the extreme right, including cutting the wages of Sid Ryan's members by 5 per cent for three
years."
How does that union song go again? Solidarity Forever?
Tuesday, October 2, 2007
New NDP Ad "Speaking Up"
The Ontario NDP's new election ad dispenses with the attacks and tries to put a positive spin on the party's priorities.
Monday, October 1, 2007
Cherniak Wants Blogosphere to Leave Dion Alone
Hilarious spoof of Dion's blogging spin doctor, Jason Cherniak.
Sunday, September 30, 2007
NDP May Finish Behind Greens in 25% of Riding Contests
Based on past electoral performance, the quality of local candidates, and organizational effort on the ground, the Green Party is poised to collect more votes than the NDP in several ridings across the province. Although the Greens have outperformed the NDP in a few by-elections in recent years, it is extremely rare for the Greens to collect more votes than the NDP in any riding contest in a general election. However, the Green Party’s support for a unified secular public school system, the public’s focus of environmental issues, and the Greens’ push for MMP have given the party new credibility and, in the process, have shaken loose supporters from the other parties, particularly the NDP. In ridings where the NDP has little traditional strength, the Greens are certainly within striking distance.
As a result, look for potential 4th place NDP finishes in the following ridings:
416 ridings
Don Valley West
Etobicoke Centre
Scarborough Agincourt
Scarborough Rouge River
Willowdale
905 ridings
Brampton West
Dufferin-Caledon
Halton
Markham-Unionville
Mississauga East-Cooksville
Mississauga-Erindale
Mississauga-Streetsville
Newmarket-Aurora
Oak Ridges-Markham
Oakville
Richmond Hill
Thornhill
Vaughan
Wellington-Halton Hills
Eastern Ontario ridings
Carleton-Mississipi Mills
Glengarry-Prescott-Russell
Leeds-Grenville
Ottawa-Orleans
Ottawa South
Stormont-Dundas-Glengarry
Southwestern Ontario ridings
Chatham-Kent-Essex
Perth-Wellington
Northern Ontario ridings
Parry Sound Muskoka
Other ridings where the Green Party has an outside chance of outperforming the NDP:
Ajax-Pickering
Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound
Don Valley East
Guelph
Mississauga-Brampton South
Mississauga South
Nepean-Carleton
Niagara Falls
Ottawa West-Nepean
Pickering-Scarborough East
York-Simcoe
Friday, September 28, 2007
NDP Shadow Cabinet
NDP Shadow cabinet - complete list
Jack Layton (Toronto-Danforth) Leader, Intergovernmental Affairs
Charlie Angus (Timmins-James Bay)Public Works and Government Services, Treasury Board, Democratic and Electoral Reform
Alex Atamanenko (British Columbia Southern Interior) Agriculture and Agri-Food, Rural Affairs
Catherine Bell (Vancouver Island North) Natural Resources, Western Economic Diversification, Deputy Critic for Fisheries (West Coast)
Dennis Bevington (Western Arctic) Northern Development, Arctic Sovereignty, Deputy Critic for Natural Resources (Energy)
Dawn Black (New Westminster-Coquitlam) National Defence
Bill Blaikie (Elmwood-Transcona) Deputy Speaker of the House of Commons
Chris Charlton (Hamilton Mountain)Seniors and Pensions
David Christopherson (Hamilton Centre) Infrastructure and Communities, Public Accounts, Revenue Canada, Crown Corporations
Olivia Chow (Trinity-Spadina) Citizenship and Immigration, Deputy Critic for Social Development (Children and Youth)
Joe Comartin (Windsor-Tecumseh) Justice, Deputy Critic for Public Safety, Deputy Critic for the Environment (Great Lakes)
Jean Crowder (Nanaimo-Cowichan) Aboriginal Affairs
Nathan Cullen (Skeena-Bulkley Valley) Environment, National Parks
Libby Davies (Vancouver East) Deputy Leader, House Leader, Labour, Deputy Critic for Justice (Substance Abuse and Prostitution Issues), Deputy Critic for Infrastructure and Communities (Greater Vancouver Area)
Paul Dewar (Ottawa Centre) Foreign Affairs, Deputy Critic for Crown Corporations (National Capital Commission)
Yvon Godin (Acadie-Bathurst)WhipFrancophonie and Official Languages, ACOA, Employment Insurance
Peter Julian (Burnaby-New Westminster) International Trade, Pacific Gateway, Vancouver-Whistler Olympics
Wayne Marston (Hamilton East-Stoney Creek) Multiculturalism, Sport, Deputy Critic of Justice (Human Rights), Deputy Critic for Industry (Steel Policy)
Pat Martin (Winnipeg Centre) Privacy and Ethics, Deputy Critic for Agriculture (Canadian Wheat Board)
Tony Martin (Sault Ste. Marie) Human Resources and Social Development, Federal Economic Development for Northern Ontario
Brian Masse (Windsor West)Transport, Canada Border Services, Deputy Critic for Industry (Auto Policy)
Irene Mathyssen (London Fanshawe)Status of Women
Alexa McDonough (Halifax)International Development and International Cooperation, Peace Advocacy, Atlantic Canada Region
Tom Mulcair (Outremont)Deputy LeaderFinance, Economic Development Agency of Canada for the Regions of Quebec
Peggy Nash (Parkdale-High Park)Industry, Toronto Issues
Penny Priddy (Surrey North)Public Safety, Deputy Critic for Justice
Denise Savoie (Victoria)Post Secondary Education, Literacy, Deputy Critic for Human Resources (Training)
Bill Siksay (Burnaby-Douglas)Culture and Heritage, Housing,Gay, Lesbian, Bisexual, Transsexual and Transgender Issues
Peter Stoffer (Sackville-Eastern Shore)Fisheries, Veterans Affairs, Deputy Critic for Industry (Shipbuilding)
Judy Wasylycia-Leis (Winnipeg North) Caucus ChairHealth, Persons with Disabilities
Thursday, September 27, 2007
NDP Continues to Lead Polls in Nova Scotia
NDP 35%
PC 32%
Lib 28%
Green 5%
Memo to Stephane Dion re: Jamie Carroll
Read all the pathetic details here.
Wednesday, September 26, 2007
ADQ, Conservatives, NDP Up in Quebec Opinion Polls
Provincial:
ADQ 34%
PQ 30%
Liberal 24%
Vert 7%
QS 5%
The Federal results from the same poll aren't available online, but here are the numbers:
BQ 31%
Conservative : 27%
Liberal 19%
NDP: 17 %