Wednesday, October 31, 2007

Sask Party Poised to Win Majority

The first, and as far as I can tell only, poll of the Saskatchewan election campaign suggests Brad Wall's Saskatchewan Party will win a majority government on November 7. This is hardly surprising given the NDP's unpopularity in recent years.

Sask Party 50%
NDP 35%
Liberal 10%

With numbers like these the NDP will be lucky to hold onto 20 seats and the Sask Party will likely pick up an additional ten seats, thus securing a strong majority for Brad Wall. The silver lining for the NDP is that a greater proportion of Liberals than New Democrats are moving to the Sask Party, therefore increasing the likelihood that Liberal leader David Karwacki will go down to defeat.

For more election info click here.


The Jurist said...

Note that the Saskatchewan NDP came back from a similar gap in 2003 to win (albeit in a poll further away from the election). As much as the provincial Libs seems to want to pretend otherwise, the outcome is far from certain - and there's still plenty of time for voters to choose progressive leadership.

leftdog said...

The poll only tested 650 and was sponsored by a group who HATE the New Democrats - the Saskatchewan Weekly Newspaper Association.

The poll is not a good refelection because in many rural seats, the Sask Party gets 65 - 75%^ of the vote. This does NOT translate out at 50% priovince wide. They do have a lead province wide, but the 15% will not give them the type of majority many think.

The reason that no other major newspaper or group has published a poll is because it actually shows the NDP doing better then the SWNA poll - the main stream media has decided that they want a change of govenment after 16 years of NDP rule and the news slant against Calvert is so blatant that it is almost a joke right now.

albertan said...

Support the "Alberta Advantage" by voting NDP in Sask. The NDP have been a great support for Alberta.